Theorem 2 Radon-Nikodym Theorem Let (Ω,B,P) be the probability space. Suppose v is a positive bounded measure and v≪P. Then there exists an integrable random variable X∈B, such that
v(E)=∫EXdP,∀E∈B X is a.s. unique (P) and is written
X=dvdP. We also write dv=XdP
Definition of Conditional Expectation
Suppose X∈L1(Ω,B,P) and let G⊂B be a sub-σ-field. Then there exists a random variable E(X|G), called the conditional expectation of X with respect to G, such that
- E(X|G) is G-measurable and integrable.
- For all G∈G we have ∫GXdP=∫GE(X|G)dP
Notes.
- Definition of conditional probability: Given (Ω,B,P), a probability space, with G a sub-σ-field of B, define P(A|G)=E(1A|G),A∈B. Thus P(A|G) is a random variable such that
- P(A|G) is G-measurable and integrable.
- P(A|G) satisfies ∫GP(A|G)dP=P(A∩G),∀G∈G.
- Conditioning on random variables: Suppose {Xt,t∈T} is a family of random variables defined on (Ω,B) and indexed by some index set T. Define G:=σ(Xt,t∈T) to be the \sigma-field generated by the process {Xt,t∈T}. Then define E(X|Xt,t∈T)=E(X|G).
Note (1) continues the duality of probability and expectation but seems to place expectation in a somewhat more basic position, since conditional probability is defined in terms of conditional expectation.
Note (2) saves us from having to make separate definitions for E(X|X1), E(X|X1,X2), etc.
Countable partitions Let {Λn,n≥1} be a partition of Ω so thyat Λi∩Λj=∅,i≠j, and ∑nΛn=Ω. Define
G=σ(Λn,n≥1) so that
G={∑i∈JΛi:J⊂{1,2,…}}. For X∈L1(P), define
EΛn(X)=∫XP(dω|Λn)=∫ΛnXdP/PΛn, if P(Λn)>0 and EΛn(X)=18 if P(Λn)=0. We claim
Countable partitions Let {Λn,n≥1} be a partition of Ω so thyat Λi∩Λj=∅,i≠j, and ∑nΛn=Ω. Define
G=σ(Λn,n≥1) so that
G={∑i∈JΛi:J⊂{1,2,…}}. For X∈L1(P), define
EΛn(X)=∫XP(dω|Λn)=∫ΛnXdP/PΛn, if P(Λn)>0 and EΛn(X)=18 if P(Λn)=0. We claim
- E(X|G)a.s.=∞∑n=1EΛn(X)1Λn and for any A∈B
- P(A|G)a.s.=∞∑n=1P(A|Λn)1Λn