Suppose {zk} is a sequence of jointly Gaussian random elements. The innovations process {˜zk} is such that ˜zk consists of that part of zk containing new information not carried in zk−1,zk−2,….
˜zk=zk−E[zk|z0,…,zk−1]=zk−E[zk|Zk−1]
with ˜z0=z0−E[z0].
Properties
- ˜zk independent of z0,…,zk−1 by definition
- (1) implies E[˜z′k˜zl]=0,l≠k
- E[zk|Zk−1] is a linear combination of z0,…,zk−1
- The sequence {˜zk} can be obtained from {zk} by a causal linear operation.
- The sequence {zk} can be reconstructed from {˜zk} by a causal linear operation.
- (4) and (5) implies E[zk|Zk−1]=E[zk|˜Zk−1] or more generally E[w|Zk−1]=E[w|˜Zk−1] for jointly Gaussian w,{zk}
- For zero mean Gaussian ˜xk, ˜zk, we have E[xk|Zk−1]=E[xk|˜Zk−1]=E[xk|˜z0]+⋯+E[xk|˜zk−1]
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